KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 95%+1.0ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
439,4 €
Liquidez
487,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
6 ago 26, 21:15 UTC1 oct 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Clarity Act will pass in September
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KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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PredictItReglas
If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote
- For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Limitless — When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? · Before Jan 1, 2027 96%
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 180,5 mil €
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- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
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- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
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- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
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+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 105,1 mil €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 95% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- Está previsto que When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless.