PredictItComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución no verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 75%
Metodología
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pregunta
-
Volumen 24h
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
22 jul 26, 13:381 oct 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 22, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, Mitch McConnell is recorded as Yea or Nay in a published Senate roll call vote tally.
- McConnell being recorded as "Not voting" in such a vote will not cause this market to resolve to Yes.
Votes in committee markup or business meetings or any other votes in which proxy voting is allowed shall have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/30/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 49%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 48 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 49% · 2 plataformas · 48 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 600,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1094,6 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 181 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 390,2 mil €
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30??
- PredictIt cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30??
- Está previsto que Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30??
- PredictIt liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 22, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, Mitch McConnell is recorded as Yea or Nay in a published Senate roll call vote tally.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.