Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
One-OffRegulaciónCriptoCommoditiesExchangeStablecoinPolítica3m
GeminiKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual
Before 2027? 28.5%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
5,5 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoTraders
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
25 feb 26, 3:23 UTC1 ene 27, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
PolymarketCrypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
LimitlessWill legislation establishing the Canada Strong Fund become law in 2026?
KalshiWill data center legislation (GRID Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItIn the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill legislation be passed into law that lays out process for enforcing 14th amendment during the 119th congress?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to Yes if crypto market structure legislation becomes law by the specified deadline.
- For purposes of this Contract, 'crypto market structure legislation' means any bill that: (1) Establishes a regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely stablecoins); AND (2) Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (SEC, CFTC, or other) for oversight of digital assets; AND (3) Creates definitions or classifications for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other classifications.
- Bills that do the following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: solely regulate stablecoins and/or CBDCs; only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without a regulatory framework; only address crypto taxation; pass only one chamber; as well as appropriations bills; executive orders or agency rules; bills vetoed and not overridden; state legislation.
- Resolution source: Library of Congress.
- Resolves to Yes if qualifying crypto market structure legislation becomes law before this date; otherwise No. Sources: congress.gov (primary); Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC (secondary).