Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?
YearlyPolíticaGeopolíticaLatin AmericaElección3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 75%
Pronosticadores
79
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado4 dic 22, 14:39 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
PolymarketWill a Latin American country pass legislation attempting to regulate AI before end of 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsWho will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Leftists currently govern a majority of Latin American countries (13 out of 20).
- Between now and the end of 2026, every Latin American country will hold an election.
- Will the pink tide recede?
- A country is considered governed by leftists if a party affiliated with the São Paulo Forum is part of the governing coalition, or is the party of the president.
- A majority is 11 or more countries (50%+1).
- Latin America is defined as all of South America except for Guyana and Suriname, all of Central America except for Belize, plus Mexico, Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic.