Pronóstico comunitario actual
Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing) 37%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado2 ene 26, 15:18 UTC30 sept 26, 14:16 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket
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Manifold Markets2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiSuper Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
KalshiReglas
These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Physics Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.
- Multiple markets can, and probably will, resolve Yes.
- You can request fields I might have forgotten, but I'm not doing too niche things I would have difficulty resolving.
- In case of ambiguity, I will discuss in the comments and might resolve N/A. I have formal education in the field, and will not participate to stay impartial.
- Despite this, there is some element of subjectivity in the resolution.
- I will provide my rationale for resolving, and you can also look at my previous Nobel market to judge my reliability.
Mercados abiertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 226,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 108,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 resultados más
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing) al 37% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket?
- Está previsto que Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Physics Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.