Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 86.3%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 0:59 UTC17 oct 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsWill Michael Levin be awarded the Nobel Prize?
Manifold MarketsAssuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiSuper Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
KalshiReglas
Resolving based on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics??
- Está previsto que Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics? se resuelva el 17 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolving based on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
