Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (97.8%)
Resuelto: 12 oct 2026, 11:35
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Yes
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 12 oct 2026, 18:04 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes97.8%
No2.200000000000003%
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
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Robinhood (Rothera)Reglas
Resolving based on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
