Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBlue wave midterms 74.9%+11.1ptLíder entre 24 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+11.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
21 ene 26, 2:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.
- Each answer represents one cell on his bingo card.
- Resolution: These markets will resolve as decided by Mr. Beat, should he post a timely update reviewing his predictions.
- If he fails to do so, or if his resolution is unclear, ambiguous, or incomplete, I (@evandaniel assisted by Claude) will do my best to resolve on his behalf.
- 🎬 Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DHSnDvyuJI 🎴 Bingo card viewer: https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/card.html?id=mr-beat-2026
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 156,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,1 mil €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 resultados más
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Blue wave midterms al 75% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Está previsto que Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.