Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualWorld's First Trillionaire 94.1%Líder entre 25 opciones
Pronosticadores
53
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado1 ene 26, 0:52 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Resolves based on what Hank chooses to cross off in his 2026 bingo card video.
- [image] https://www.threads.com/@hankgreen/post/DSdfUMwD7Oa/introducing-my-bingo-card https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ieXl40gO26k
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/ieXl40gO26k)
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 156,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,1 mil €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 resultados más
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Manifold Markets cotiza World's First Trillionaire al 94% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Está previsto que Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves based on what Hank chooses to cross off in his 2026 bingo card video.