Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]
Política de EE. UU.IAOne-OffOriente Medio
Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Resuelto: 28 oct 2026, 7:37
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Cronología de Probabilidad
No general elections on or before the planned date (Oct 27 2026)2.4%
General attorney (Gali Baharav Miara) leaves position ahead of time0%
Head of the Internal Security Service (Ronen Bar) leaves position ahead of time100%
Netanyahu is forced to step down as Prime Minister for any reason other then health or losing elections0%
Another downgrading of Israel's credit rating by a major agency0%
Israel is downgraded in another major democracy index100%
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Manifold MarketsSeverance Fan Theories [add predictions]
Manifold MarketsReglas
Please add your own predictions to this market.
- Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:
- Legislation Passage: The judicial overhaul legislation must be passed through the legislative process.
- Supreme Court Challenge: The legislation must withstand a Supreme Court challenge.