Si Trump es elegido, ¿seguirá siendo EE. UU. una democracia liberal al final de su mandato? (V-DEM)
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElecciónGeopolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 88%
Pronosticadores
210
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
23 feb 24, 21:36 UTC21 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK?
Manifold MarketsIsrael’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]
Manifold MarketsIran a liberal democracy in 2032, conditional on regime change in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill a woman be elected US vice president in 2028?
PredictItWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItReglas
This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
- https://v-dem.net/
- If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).
- Companion question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)
