Si Trump es elegido, ¿seguirá siendo EE. UU. una democracia liberal al final de su mandato? (V-DEM)
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 88%
No 88%Pronosticadores
210
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado23 feb 24, 21:36 UTC21 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PredictItReglas
This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
- https://v-dem.net/
- If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).
- Companion question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)
