Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by…?
GeopolíticaManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
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Pronóstico comunitario actualMay 15 100%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
34
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 96 días
Desactualizado28 feb 26, 19:4822 abr 26, 19:32
Cronología de Probabilidad
March 70%
March 150%
March 310%
May 15100%
June 30100%
December 31100%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· May 15
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general80% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 100% | — | 20,2 M € | 4,9 M € | hace 93 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 96 días |
También disponible en Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by which date?
Cerrados
+2.0pt100%
+6.3pt100%
100%
+6 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total88,4 M €
Volumen 24h20,2 M €
POLYMARKETReglas
Resolves same as Polymarket:
- https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by
- Please note: 14 day period must start before end date, not finish.
- If conflict ended on March 6 and there was a 14 day period of no conflict until March 20, March 7 and 15 would resolve yes on March 20 when the period has finished.
- Full rules: This is for your convenience.
- Rules may be clarified further, check Polymarket if so.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Resolves same as Polymarket:
- https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by
- Please note: 14 day period must start before end date, not finish.
- If conflict ended on March 6 and there was a 14 day period of no conflict until March 20, March 7 and 15 would resolve yes on March 20 when the period has finished.
- Full rules: This is for your convenience.
- Rules may be clarified further, check Polymarket if so.