In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?
Tecnología14a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2027-2028 48.8%Líder entre 4 opciones
2027-2028 48.8%Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-3.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado15 ene 24, 1:53 UTC1 ene 41, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiHow many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsReglas
The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches.
- Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.
- All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.
- This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.
- 2 Starship launches
- 96 Falcon launches