Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 21:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
2035-2039 22.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado9 jun 25, 0:19 UTC31 dic 00, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
China already became the world's largest economy on a purchasing-power-parity (PPP) basis in 2016, according to both the World Bank and IMF estimates, even though the United States still leads when measured at market exchange rates.
- As of 2024, China's nominal GDP is about 73 % of the U.S. level ($18.3 tn vs $25.0 tn in 2022 IMF data) and the gap has been narrowing roughly 1-2 percentage points per year.
- Whether-and when-China overtakes the U.S. in nominal terms hinges on factors such as:
- real growth differentials,
- inflation and deflation trends,
- RMB-USD exchange-rate movements, and
