Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual2030-2039 41%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado25 mar 25, 1:15 UTC1 ene 00, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria:
- For a given date to be resolved to YES at least one of the following must occur:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 50% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 50% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
- If that number goes from 40 hours/week to 20 hours/week or less that will not matter to the resolution of this question.