Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 77.7%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado14 ene 23, 14:12 UTC1 ene 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
In the Northern Ireland Assembly, parties and indepedent candidates are designated as nationalist, unionist, or other.
- In every election to the Northern Ireland Assembly so far, unionists have won more seats than nationalists, with the most recent election in 2022, unionists won 37 seats and nationalists 35 (and other 18).
- This market resolves to YES if in the next election to the Assembly, the number of seats won by nationalists is greater than or equal to the number of seats won by unionists (it doesn't matter how many seats other wins), and resolves to NO if this is not the case.
