KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 13 oct 2026, 10:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
DUP · —
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Precio guardado
DUP 47%Líder entre 6 opciones
DUP 47%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
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Interés abierto desconocidoCompra / Venta
— / —
DUPSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
12 oct 26, 14:00 UTC5 may 28, 14:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · DUP
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KalshiReglas
If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Electoral Office for Northern Ireland
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count Only the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count Seats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Reglas de cada resultado
- DUP
- If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- UUP
- If the Ulster Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sinn Féin
- If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alliance
- If the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SDLP
- If the Social Democratic and Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- TUV
- If Traditional Unionist Voice finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
