Will an implantable device to treat tinnitus be available anywhere in the world before 2027?
One-OffHealth & MedicineCiencia8mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.8%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado17 may 22, 8:19 UTC25 may 27, 21:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Following Musk's 4/24/2023 promise
- Note: this market resolves yes even if the device doesn't come from Neuralink, or doesn't use the same kind of tech at all.
- May 23, 5:16pm: Clarifying that the market resolves Yes even if the device only treats some types of tinnitus: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tinnitus#Types
- No efficacy minimum, only the requirement that in at least 1 country, the device is approved and available to the public.
- Please tell me if you can think of possible edge cases
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an implantable device to treat tinnitus be available anywhere in the world before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an implantable device to treat tinnitus be available anywhere in the world before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will an implantable device to treat tinnitus be available anywhere in the world before 2027? se resuelva el 25 de mayo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an implantable device to treat tinnitus be available anywhere in the world before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Following Musk's 4/24/2023 promise