If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
IAManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualThere was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. 30.6%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
229
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado22 feb 23, 19:11 UTC1 ene 00, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves once either of the following are true:
- AI seems about as intelligent as it's ever plausibly going to get.
- There appears to be no more significant danger from AI.
- It resolves to the option that seems closest to the explanation of why we didn't all die.
- If multiple reasons seem like they all significantly contributed, I may resolve to a mix among them.
- If you want to know what option a specific scenario would fall under, describe it to me and we'll figure out what it seems closest to.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- Manifold Markets cotiza There was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. al 31% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- Está previsto que If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2200.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves once either of the following are true: