If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónPolítica de EE. UU.Crimen y justicia6dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 90.7%
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30
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado10 mar 24, 17:05 UTC3 nov 26, 7:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
According to a report by the Council on Criminal Justice, peak in 2023 was 1.8 per 100,000 population, averaged across 18 metros:
- https://infogram.com/ct_report-homicide-1hmr6g7pmkyqo6n
- https://counciloncj.org/year-end-2023-crime-trends/
- Resolved based on the CCJ’s 2026 report, published after the 2026 midterm elections.
- Market closes just before the 2026 midterms.
- Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
