If EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC]
IAOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualStandards are revised: an explanation not worldview-shattering in 2023 now qualifies as such. 80%Líder entre 14 opciones
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11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 25, 12:05 UTC2 ene 29, 2:33 UTC
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Inspired by this market: https://manifold.markets/RobertCousineau/if-eliezer-yudkowsky-loses-his-bet
- This market is independent to allow for overlapping answers, which will hopefully increase clarity and granularity and hopefully reduce controversy in resolution.
- Any option that is a significant reason as to why Eliezer Yudkowsky lost the bet resolves YES.
- For example, "time-traveling AIs are responsible for UFO sightings" would resolve both "Time travel." and "Artificial intelligence." YES.
- Resolves N/A if Yudkowsky wins the bet.
- Resolution will be based on statements from Yudkowsky, RatsWrongAboutUAP, or clear consensus about the circumstances of the bet.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Standards are revised: an explanation not worldview-shattering in 2023 now qualifies as such. al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC]?
- Está previsto que If EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC] se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Inspired by this market: https://manifold.markets/RobertCousineau/if-eliezer-yudkowsky-loses-his-bet