When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?
TecnologíaOne-Off18aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore January 2040 10.4%Líder entre 15 opciones
Pronosticadores
109
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado23 nov 23, 18:10 UTC1 ene 45, 19:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
By what year will we know that any past UFO/UAP was really Alien technology?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Manifold MarketsIf EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC]
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiReglas
See previously:
- @/Joshua/by-what-year-will-we-know-that-any
- @/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500
- This is an unlinked market, so that each time period can resolve NO independently, or they can resolve YES all together.
- It also includes meta-options about the other options.
- An answer resolves NO if it arrives without there being proof of a UFO/UAP from before market creation having a worldview-shattering origin such as aliens, time-travelers, interdimensional travelers, secret superintelligence made by ancient humans, biblical demons, etc.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volumen total
- 620 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536 mil €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Before January 2040 al 10% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering??
- Está previsto que When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2045.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: See previously: