If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 53.5%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado20 mar 26, 5:04 UTC19 ene 29, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin?
Manifold MarketsWill Markwayne Mullin win the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
KalshiWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves n/a if Markwayne does not become dhs secretary (Secretary of homeland security) in 2026.
- Resolves yes if Markwayne Mullin serves continuously as dhs secretary until 19 Jan 2029.
- Resolves NO if Markwayne Mullin is out as dhs secretary before 19 Jan 2029.
- This market will resolve on announcement of Markwayne leaving the role, if he does leave.
- If role is renamed and he stays, will be on that role.
- Department of Defense> department of war sort of thing.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 964 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt57.8%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.4%
- Republicans sweep+1.0pt11.8%
+1 resultados más
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his announcement on healthcare?
- Mehmet / Oz99%
- Autism / Autistic+24.0pt99%
- Iran (2+ times)99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 534,5 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt89.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 28,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 422,9 mil €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.0pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 300,4 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029??
- Está previsto que If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029? se resuelva el 19 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves n/a if Markwayne does not become dhs secretary (Secretary of homeland security) in 2026.