Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualKevin Hern 75.4%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado6 mar 26, 6:08 UTC3 ene 27, 7:05 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves based on who Who wins the seat in the 2026 Election? not the temporary seat filler.
- President Trump announced on March 5, 2026, that Senator Markwayne Mullin would become the United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
- The appointee must be a registered Oklahoma voter in the Republican party for at least five years and is barred from running for the office in the next special or general election.
- Candidate filing for federal offices is open April 1-3 in Oklahoma.
- Rep. the named outcome is expected to launch a bid for Senate, and Rep. the named outcome is also considering a run for Senate.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Kevin Hern al 75% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin??
- Está previsto que The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin? se resuelva el 3 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria