How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?
One-OffCrimen y justicia3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2027 26.4%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado1 may 24, 4:16 UTC2 mar 30, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
For each of the following years, I commit to spending at least $100 to fund a collaborative review by debaters and credible judges (with specific rules/mechanism tbd - open to suggestions) to give an estimate of the proportion of US criminal trials which ended in jury nullification that year.
- This market resolves to the proportion determined by the review.