Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualBefore 2027-02-16 94.5%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+44.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado28 oct 26, 15:52 UTC16 feb 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
The '+' means any version at or above 6.2 counts: if OpenAI skips 6.2 and releases GPT 6.3 or GPT 7, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 6.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.