Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 0:25 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualBefore January 2028 89%Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
47
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado5 sept 26, 16:27 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
Manifold MarketsWhich Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a product named ChatGPT6?
Manifold MarketsGTA VI Online: Release date
Manifold MarketsAustin Powers 4: Release Date
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiReglas
Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 7, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @ORA9UAlgdI (this market)
