Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 90.3%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado10 ene 26, 6:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if former President Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- Biden was born on November 20, 1942, making him 83 years old as of January 2026.
- He became the first president to turn 80 years old while in office.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volumen total
- 29,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 621,6 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volumen total
- 19,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 488,8 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Former president Biden dead in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 19 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Former president Biden dead in 2026??
- Está previsto que Former president Biden dead in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Former president Biden dead in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria