Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado20 nov 25, 20:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
The market resolves YES if, at any time before 1 January 2027, any of the following index providers formally classifies European Union–issued debt as sovereign debt:
- Bloomberg Index Services Limited (including Bloomberg/Barclays fixed-income index classifications)
- FTSE Russell (including classifications relevant for the World Government Bond Index and related benchmarks)
- ICE Data Indices
- A classification counts only if it appears in official methodology documents, index-provider announcements, or other public statements issued directly by the institution and clearly designating EU-issued debt (including, but not limited to, NextGenerationEU bonds) as sovereign.
- If none of these providers adopt such a classification before the 1 January 2027, the market resolves NO.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027??
- Está previsto que EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The market resolves YES if, at any time before 1 January 2027, any of the following index providers formally classifies European Union–issued debt as sovereign debt: