Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual47% or more? 91.1%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+41.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
12 sept 26, 20:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiReglas
Resolves yes for every correct answer, for the Democrats vote percent of the popular vote in all 2026 us house elections.
- Resolves according to the number posted on the Wikipedia, which comes from the office of the clerk of the House of Representatives.
- For example, in 2026 democrats got 47.2% of the popular vote percentage.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-4.0pt72.3%
- Yes+4.0pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 14,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 753,9 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.5%
- D-House, R-Senate35%
- R-House, R-Senate-2.0pt14.6%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+19.0pt63%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+14.0pt54%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+16.0pt52%
+7 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt51.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva46.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 47% or more? al 91% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections??
- Está previsto que Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves yes for every correct answer, for the Democrats vote percent of the popular vote in all 2026 us house elections.