By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
24.2 pts (24h)One-OffCiencia10aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2029 99%+29.6ptLíder entre 16 opciones
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+24.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
22 mar 25, 11:49 UTC31 dic 36, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiReglas
When the next (2nd) millennium prize problem is solved, that year and all future years will resolve yes.
- The publication date of the solution (without significant gaps) will be used (UTC).
- To count, a large majority of the mathematical community has to view it as a valid solution.
- (This is almost certainly equivalent to the Clay institute offering to award the prize.)
- A particular year will resolve no if at least one month into the next year no serious solution has been posted.
- A solution proposed by anyone not affiliated to a research institute is not considered serious unless a professional mathematician has highlighted it as such.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2029 al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved??
- Está previsto que By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2036.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: When the next (2nd) millennium prize problem is solved, that year and all future years will resolve yes.