Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 51%
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
5 feb 23, 22:33 UTC1 ene 51, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
- Then this market here resolves the same as this one: https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi
- Otherwise, the market here resolves N/A.
