Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 83.4%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado22 mar 26, 20:30 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves yes if before 2027 an LLM can play video games that require real-time reactions with some competence.
- To avoid subjectivity, I will impose the following standards:
- The LLM must first navigate to playsnake.org and select worm
- The LLM must be able to achieve a median score of at least 50 across 5 consecutive runs.
- The LLM can try as many times as it likes as long as it hits this benchmark eventually
- I'm not paying more than $20 per month for an AI subscription, so models requiring this will not be tested unless somebody does it for me.
