Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 86.4%
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10
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado28 jun 26, 14:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
LMArena, text, overall, style control on.
- An open weight model get above "claude-opus-4.7” by the end of the year 2026
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
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- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
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- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26?
- Está previsto que An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: LMArena, text, overall, style control on.