Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 74.6%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado25 may 26, 10:18 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExBank of England rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026:
- US Federal Reserve
- European Central Bank
- Bank of Japan
- Bank of England
- People’s Bank of China
Mercados abiertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 543,5 mil €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)?
- Está previsto que 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026: