(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Rusia / UcraniaOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualOther 43.6%Líder entre 13 opciones
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66
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado24 oct 23, 15:35 UTC1 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
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I will not resolve to "Other".
- Although if you buy it you'll automatically get shares in any new options created.
- 1 year after Putin dies or is clearly out of power (eg in jail, fled to Switzerland etc.)
- I will look in major media and find who is in charge.
- I'll favor the nominal highest leader, who typically does things like occupy the place of most honor, have the most rights, speak at the most important occasions etc. If there is a nominal leader who is a puppet, and we know the real power, I will choose the real power.
- IE in recent times regardless of his title, Putin has been in charge.