LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 3:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Karoline Leavitt 50%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
26 ago 26, 14:111 ene 27, 14:59
Tendencias
Reglas
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If the named outcome leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
3 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Karoline Leavitt es del 100%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 50 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm Karoline Leavitt 100% · 3 plataformas · 50 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Gemini — Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026? · Lori Chavez-DeRemer 100%
- También disponible en Futuur — Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? · Tulsi Gabbard 86%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 100%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026??
- Limitless cotiza Karoline Leavitt al 50% a fecha de 2 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026??
- Está previsto que Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026??
- Limitless liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>If the named outcome leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.</p><p><br></p><p>If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Gemini, Futuur, Kalshi.