FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
Tulsi Gabbard 86%Líder entre 10 opciones
Tulsi Gabbard 86%Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaTraders
89
Comentarios
8
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWho will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts which of the listed individuals will cease to hold their office within the Trump administration at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC.
- An individual is considered to have left the administration if they resign, are dismissed, are reassigned outside the administration, or otherwise no longer occupy an official government position within it.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement from the White House or the relevant U.S. government department confirming the individual’s departure.
- If official confirmation is delayed, incomplete, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will consist of corroboration from multiple major, reputable U.S. news organizations reporting the individual’s confirmed departure based on official statements.
- Resolution will prioritize the substantive outcome over minor technicalities in timing or wording, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Dan Bongino 100%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Susie Wiles 34%
- También disponible en Limitless — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 50%