KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualDemocratic by 9.0% or more 21%+2.0%Líder entre 20 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,6 mil €
Liquidez
22,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
16.7%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
20 may 26, 18:006 may 29, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic by 9.0% or more21%
Tendencia de volumen
$3.0k4 jul3d de datos8 jul
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If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.