KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic by 9.0% or more 19.1%Líder entre 20 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
401,7 €
Liquidez
33,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
20 may 26, 18:00 UTC6 may 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
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Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:United States Congress
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2028 popular vote margin of victory??
- Kalshi cotiza Democratic by 9.0% or more al 19% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2028 popular vote margin of victory??
- Está previsto que 2028 popular vote margin of victory? se resuelva el 6 de mayo de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2028 popular vote margin of victory??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.