KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 17% 65%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
86,2 €
Baja liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
11 sept 26, 20:00 UTC20 sept 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Berlin state election is 11% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Der Landeswahlleiter für Berlin
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Berlin state election: AfD vote share??
- Kalshi cotiza At least 17% al 65% a fecha de 13 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Berlin state election: AfD vote share??
- Está previsto que Berlin state election: AfD vote share? se resuelva el 20 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Berlin state election: AfD vote share??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Berlin state election is 11% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Berlin state election: AfD vote share??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.