Probabilidad implícita actual
17-20% 41.6%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
370,4 €
Liquidez
27,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+10.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
20 ago 26, 18:21 UTC20 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share??
- Polymarket cotiza 17-20% al 42% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share??
- Está previsto que Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share? se resuelva el 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.