KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Christian Democrats 63.2%+13.0ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
50 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,7 €
Liquidez
16,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
1 sept 26, 2:00 UTC18 sept 26, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketLiberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsChristian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Swedish Election Authority
- Rank parties by certified nationwide valid-vote count in the Swedish Election Authority's final Riksdag result, equivalent to unrounded valid-vote share.
- Seats, mandates, regional or municipal results, polls, projections and preliminary counts do NOT count.
- A party qualifies only if exactly six parties have more valid votes and none has the same count.
- An exact tie or unlisted sole seventh-place party makes every named market resolve NO.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 606,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 721 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- Kalshi cotiza Christian Democrats al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- Está previsto que Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) se resuelva el 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.