KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 20 oct 2026, 19:25 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
4.75% or above 99%Líder entre 15 opciones
4.75% or above 99%Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,9 mil €
Interés abierto
2,4 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoSpread
25.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado19 oct 26, 19:30 UTC20 oct 26, 19:30 UTC
Tendencias
4.75% or above99%
4.67% or above99%
4.73% or above99%
4.65% or above99%
4.61% or above99%
4.63% or above99%
4.69% or above99%
4.71% or above99%
4.77% or above82%
4.79% or above52%
4.81% or above34%
4.83% or above14%
4.85% or above6%
4.87% or above4%
4.89% or above0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketActivos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 4.75% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.67% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.73% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.65% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.61% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.63% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.69% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.71% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.77% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.79% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.81% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.83% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.85% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.87% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.89% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.