KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: 4.67% or above (88%)
Resuelto: 23 oct 2026, 22:02
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 23 oct 2026, 21:22 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
4.67% or above54%
4.65% or above72%
4.71% or above17%
4.69% or above57%
4.63% or above85%
4.61% or above95%
4.75% or above1%
4.77% or above38%
4.73% or above23%
4.79% or above25%
4.81% or above0%
4.83% or above10%
4.85% or above8%
4.87% or above13%
4.89% or above7%
4.65% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 99% ·
4.61% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 99% ·
4.67% or aboveGanada
Antes del cierre: 88% ·
4.63% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 70% ·
4.69% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 57% ·
4.71% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 13% ·
4.87% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 13% ·
4.89% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 7% ·
4.85% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 4% ·
4.73% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 2% ·
4.75% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
4.77% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
4.79% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
4.81% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
4.83% or abovePerdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketActivos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 4.65% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.61% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.67% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.63% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.69% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.71% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.87% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.89% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.85% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.73% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.75% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.77% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.79% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.81% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.83% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.