KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: 25-29 (99%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 11 oct 2026, 4:30 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
10-142%
20-2445%
25-2999%
40+7%
30-391%
<51%
5-91%
15-190%
25-29Ganada
Antes del cierre: 99% ·
10-14Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
20-24Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
40+Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
30-39Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
<5Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
5-9Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
15-19Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
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PolymarketWhich words will Trump write on Truth Social in the week after the Nobel Peace Prize announcement (Oct 9–15, 2026)?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is between 25 and 29, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Roll Call
- How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Oct 10, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Oct 10, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 25-29
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is between 25 and 29, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10-14
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is between 10 and 14, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20-24
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is between 20 and 24, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 40+
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is at least 40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30-39
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is between 30 and 39, then the market resolves to Yes.
- <5
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is below 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5-9
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is between 5 and 9, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 15-19
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 10, 2026 is between 15 and 19, then the market resolves to Yes.