KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 67%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
33.0% / 34.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
12 ago 26, 16:40 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalABCPACERCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Times
- The ruling must: Be issued by any federal or state court in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment
- For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls
Mercados abiertos
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.