KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
gemini-4-argon-high 94.2%+1.0ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
gemini-4-argon-high 94.2%+1.0ptCalidad del mercado
51 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,3 mil €
Interés abierto
20,5 mil €
Interés abierto medioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
28 sept 26, 16:00 UTC5 oct 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Reglas de cada resultado
- gemini-4-argon-high
- If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6-high
- If claude-opus-4-6-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-fable-5.1-max
- If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5-max
- If claude-opus-5-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5.5-high
- If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- gemini-3.8-flash-high
- If gemini-3.8-flash-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.