KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%Líder entre 5 opciones
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%Calidad del mercado
46 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
637,3 €
Interés abierto
2,3 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
9 nov 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2029
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Stephen MillerThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPoliticoFinancial TimesMSNBCNBCABCCBSCNBCABC News AustraliaDeutsche WelleBBC
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role he holds does not count. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Stephen Miller will cease to be White House Chief of Staff. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.