KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Before Oct 1, 2026 (92%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Oct 1, 2026 92%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
10,2 mil €
Liquidez
9,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
96.0% / 98.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado8 sept 26, 6:48 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
Before Oct 1, 202692%
Before Jan 1, 202765%
92%
91%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketReglas
If OpenAI announces a complete solution, developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:OpenAI
- The qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution.
- The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem.
- Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it.
- Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution.
- Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution.