Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 15:10 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 97.5%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 ago 26, 7:13 UTC1 ene 28, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Codename: MILLPROB
- Resolves YES if a complete claimed solution or disproof of one of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems is made public before January 1, 2028 and verified by June 30, 2028.
- Verification requires either a complete, independently reproduced machine-checkable proof, or clear acceptance by multiple recognized specialists with no credible unresolved objection after at least 90 days.
- Clay Mathematics Institute recognition is sufficient but not required.
- A counterexample counts only if it resolves the official problem as stated.
- Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
