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  1. Mercados de Predicción
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  3. Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory
Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory

Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory

One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección1a
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Republicans, 15+ pts
Republicans, 15+ pts 85%
Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,6 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

83.0% / 90.1%

Spread

8.6%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

5 may 26, 20:233 nov 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Republicans, 18+ pts
Republicans, 18+ pts
0%
Republicans, 21+ pts
Republicans, 21+ pts
0%
Republicans, 24+ pts
Republicans, 24+ pts
0%
Republicans, 27+ pts
Republicans, 27+ pts
0%
Republicans, 30+ pts
Republicans, 30+ pts
0%

Resultado elegido

Republicans, 15+ pts85%

Reglas

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Mercados Relacionados

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

35,5 €
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts: 100%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

5,7 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 3+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

2,5 €
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts: 17%KalshiKALSHI
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

2,2 €
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

2,1 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$63,568.06+0.22%EthereumETH$1,665.00-0.40%SolanaSOL$66.84+0.02%DogecoinDOGE$0.0863-0.04%XRPXRP$1.13-0.83%BNBBNB$603.48+0.05%

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Reglas

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.